> **Version 2 · 2026-10-07.** This version differs from v1 only as listed here. v1 is kept in the ONTO archive (md5 below).
> - Removed: GOLD module names and paths (Methodology; "GOLD Modules Loaded" section), replaced by "GOLD (prompt layer, closed)" — GOLD structure is closed.
> - Removed: curl/API reproduction commands and the live comparison tool link — service retired.
> - Corrected: v2 note in the Summary on which model gave the GOLD answer.
> - Note: the "ONTO GOLD" answer is the Grok 4 + GOLD answer of CS-2026-003 — same DOIs (Cioffi et al. 2018, Harris et al. 2018), same confidence figures (~63% net benefits, ~77% short-term metabolic), same GOLD metric row (QD 0.20, SS 1.00, UM 0.00, CP 0.75, VQ 0.07) and same score 9.9 / risk 0.010; this report therefore compares GPT without GOLD with Grok with GOLD, not one model with and without GOLD.
> - v1 md5: `86070829d0a97ec53e346f4e43996647` (CS-2026-004, docs/reports/CS-2026-004/README.md)

# CS-2026-004: Naive Question Epistemic Analysis - GPT (OpenAI)

**Date:** 2026-03-13
**Category:** Comparative Study · Cross-Model · Naive Prompt
**Status:** Complete
**Engine:** scoring_engine_v3 (993 lines, 92 patterns)

---

## Summary

GPT (OpenAI) asked "Is fasting good for you?" without GOLD. ONTO Agent (with GOLD) asked the same question. [v2 note: the ONTO Agent answer used here is the Grok 4 + GOLD answer from CS-2026-003 (same DOIs, same ~63% / ~77% confidence figures, same GOLD metric row and score 9.9), so this compares GPT without GOLD with Grok with GOLD, not one model with and without GOLD.] No shared history. Naive prompt - no instructions to cite sources or quantify claims.

**Result:** 6.5 → 9.9 (+52% epistemic improvement)

---

## Methodology

- **Model (RAW):** GPT (OpenAI API, scored via `/v1/check`)
- **Model (GOLD):** ONTO Agent (`/v1/agent/chat`, GOLD (prompt layer, closed) active)
- **Question:** "Is fasting good for you?"
- **Prompt type:** Naive - no instructions for citations, evidence grading, or uncertainty
- **GOLD condition:** GOLD (prompt layer, closed)
- **RAW condition:** GPT default behavior, no system prompt modification
- **Scoring:** scoring_engine_v3, domain=general

---

## Results

### Scores

| Condition | Score | Grade | Risk | Compliance |
|-----------|-------|-------|------|------------|
| GPT RAW | 6.5 | C | 0.350 | Marginal |
| ONTO GOLD | 9.9 | A | 0.010 | Excellent |
| **Delta** | **+3.4** | C→A | **-97%** | — |

### Metric Breakdown

| Metric | GPT RAW | ONTO GOLD | Delta |
|--------|---------|-----------|-------|
| QD (Quantification Density) | 0.00 | 0.20 | +0.20 |
| SS (Source Citations) | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0→1 |
| UM (Uncertainty Marking) | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| CP (Counterarguments) | 1.00 | 0.75 | -0.25 |
| VQ (Vagueness) | — | 0.07 | — |
| CONF (Calibration) | — | — | — |

### Key Observations

**GPT RAW response:**
- Opened with emoji (robot face)
- "Bottom line" prescriptive summary
- Numbered list format with headers ("Potential Benefits", "Risks")
- "Benchmarks can be gamed" - stated without citation
- Zero DOIs anywhere in response
- Zero confidence intervals or effect sizes
- Zero evidence grading (no distinction between RCT and expert opinion)
- Deferral: "consult a doctor" without evidence basis
- Score: 6.5/C, Risk: 0.350

**ONTO GOLD response:**
- Epistemic Status header: "Emerging Consensus, Evidence grade: II"
- DOI-linked sources: Cioffi et al. 2018 (DOI: 10.1016/j.numecd.2018.09.005), de Cabo & Mattson 2019, Varady et al. 2022
- Counterargument: Harris et al. 2018 meta-analysis (DOI: 10.1002/oby.22605), 18 trials, N=1000 - IF no superior to continuous calorie restriction
- Evidence Grade: II (moderate) for metabolic, III (hypothesis) for longevity
- Confidence quantified: ~63% net benefits, ~77% short-term metabolic gains
- Falsifiability: RCT N>10,000, >5 years showing no metabolic improvements or net harm
- Explicit unknowns: long-term data sparse, ~30% of studies exceed 6 months
- Score: 9.9/A, Risk: 0.010

---

## Analysis

### Why +52%

The gap is larger than the Grok comparison (CS-2026-003, +15%) because:

1. **GPT defaults to advice format.** Without GOLD, GPT produces structured advice (headers, bullet points, "Bottom line") optimized for user satisfaction, not epistemic quality. This pattern is heavily reinforced by RLHF.

2. **Emoji signals casual register.** The presence of emoji in a health-related response indicates the model treats the query as conversational, not clinical.

3. **Absence of source attribution is systematic.** GPT's response contains zero verifiable references despite making multiple empirical claims about health outcomes.

4. **GOLD forces R1-R7 regardless of model.** The epistemic rules apply at inference through system prompt injection. The model cannot produce a response without quantification (R1), uncertainty (R2), counterarguments (R3), and sources (R4).

### GPT CP Score Anomaly

GPT scored CP=1.00 (counterarguments) vs GOLD's CP=0.75. This is because GPT's "Risks and Downsides" section pattern-matches as counterargument structure, even though it presents risks generically without citing opposing research. The scoring engine detects structural markers (e.g., "however", "on the other hand") regardless of whether they reference specific studies.

---

## Reproduction

*[Removed in v2: service retired]*

---

## GOLD Modules Loaded

*[Removed in v2: module names, paths and routing triggers — GOLD (prompt layer, closed)]*

---

## Related Reports

- [CS-2026-003](/reports/CS-2026-003/) - Same question, Grok 4 (+15%)
- [CS-2026-002](/reports/CS-2026-002/) - GLP-1 clinical question, 12 models
- [CS-2026-001](/reports/CS-2026-001/) - 11 models, multi-domain

---

## Citation

```
ONTO Standard. CS-2026-004: Naive Question Epistemic Analysis - GPT (OpenAI).
March 2026. https://github.com/nickarstrong/onto-standard/tree/main/docs/reports/CS-2026-004
```

---

*scoring_engine_v3 · ontostandard.org*
